The Blog Formerly Known As Vote '08
Dedicated to Advancing the Idea That the Other Side May Have a Point
ZOGBY: POWELL WOULD BOOST OBAMA’S CHANCES, HUCK & MITT WOULD HELP McCAIN
July 18th, 2008, 3:28 pm · 2 Comments · posted by Dan Lehr
| Likelihood to vote for Barack Obama if he chooses … as his Vice President | ||||||
| Likely Voters | Democrats | Independents | ||||
| More Likely | Less Likely | More Likely | Less Likely | More Likely | Less Likely | |
|
Colin Powell |
42% | 10% | 42% | 12% | 43% | 9% |
|
Hillary Clinton |
30% | 25% | 47% | 15% | 33% | 26% |
|
Bill Richardson |
15% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 9% |
|
Joe Biden |
11% | 16% | 6% | 22% | 11% | 13% |
|
Kathleen Sebelius |
7% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 9% |
|
Tim Kaine |
7% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
|
Evan Bayh |
6% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 9% |
Zogby Poll: Obama/Powell Ticket Could Bode Well for Democrats
Survey finds Clinton VP pick favored by nearly half of Dems; Huckabee, Romney viewed as best running mates for McCain
UTICA, New York - As the Presidential candidates ponder potential running mates, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows many voters would be more inclined to vote for Democratic Sen. Barack Obama if he were to select retired four-star general and former Secretary of State Colin Powell as his running-mate.
If Obama were to choose Powell, 42% of likely voters nationwide said it would make them more likely to support the Democratic candidate - as did 42% of Democrats and 43% of political independents. The Zogby International telephone poll of 1,039 likely voters nationwide was conducted July 9-13, 2008, and asked respondents how the selection of certain vice presidential candidates would affect their likelihood to vote for the two leading presidential candidates. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
Why I’m not surprised: Go back & read this Vote08 post from June 11th.
ALSO:
“Powell Hints at an Obama Endorsement” (June 13th)
“Computer Says Ideal VP for Both Dems & GOP is the Same Guy” (July 1st)
“Colin Powell on Barack Obama” (April 10th)
Yes, it’s a long shot, but I’m going to go ahead on the record right here & now & say that Powell is my official prediction for Obama’s Veep. The major hurdle, I think, is Mrs. Powell, who was instrumental in keeping Powell out of the running in 1995. Stay tuned.
Meanwhile.. I’ve long thought Romney is the money-favorite as of right now, & that’s reinforced even with Huckabee’s numbers as outlined below. For McCain to have a comparable “WOW” pick to Powell, I’m picking his longshot Veep pick as Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.
Former Republican rivals Huckabee and Romney could give McCain a boost
Among McCain’s potential vice presidential picks, former Republican nomination challengers Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney earned the strongest support from likely voters overall, as well as from Republicans and political independents. Among likely voters, 27% would be more likely to support McCain with Huckabee on the ticket, and 26% said the same if Romney were selected. A Huckabee pick would cause 13% of likely voters to be less likely to support McCain, while 11% would be less supportive of the presumptive Republican nominee if he were to choose Romney as his running mate. Among Republicans, 40% would be more likely to support a McCain/Huckabee ticket, while 11% would be less likely - a 29% net positive for the choice of Huckabee. If Romney were to be chosen, 41% of Republicans would be more inclined to vote for McCain, compared to 8% who would be less likely, for a net positive of 33%. Both fare well among political independents, with a 15% net positive for Huckabee and a 17% net positive for Romney if chosen as a running mate by McCain.
| Likelihood to vote for John McCain if he chooses … as his Vice President | ||||||
| Likely Voters | Republicans | Independents | ||||
| More Likely | Less Likely | More Likely | Less Likely | More Likely | Less Likely | |
|
Mike Huckabee |
27% | 13% | 40% | 11% | 29% | 14% |
|
Mitt Romney |
26% | 11% | 41% | 8% | 30% | 13% |
|
Joe Lieberman |
20% | 17% | 26% | 16% | 20% | 22% |
|
Charlie Crist |
5% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 9% |
|
Bobby Jindal |
5% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 9% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
|
Mark Sanford |
3% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 10% |
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Mitt Romney is an amazing man. I hope and pray John McCain has the intelligence and forsight to give him the nod for VP. Our country will be blessed for it for generations to come.
This is old news. If they tested Powell as McCain’s VP, he would have won there too.