KENTUCKY DERBY WEEKEND POLLS
May 2nd, 2008, 12:34 pm · Post a Comment · posted by Dan Lehr
Happy Kentucky Derby weekend!
We’re a fan.. we’ve been to 9 of them. The above photo is the 1998 race from our perspective in the stands.
After the jump.. find out which horses the candidates are picking to win the Run for the Roses & see how the polls are shaping up for the other “biggest horse race in town.”
Here’s Barack Obama’s pick: Colonel John. He also picked Pyro to place & Big Brown to show.
And it would follow that Hillary Clinton would pick the only filly running in the race, Eight Belles. She bet on her to win, place, & show.
Hillary appeared today (Oaks day, the big day of racing for fillies) wearing a “Derby hat” (video clip here)
Now, to the polls. There has been movement in the past week.
First, North Carolina.
Here’s the composite from RealClearPolitics:
Obama 48.3%, Clinton 41.3%
The most recently taken poll, from Rasmussen, has Obama 49, Clinton 40.
Only one recent poll has Clinton ahead - 44 to 42 - & it’s Insider Advantage.
I’m interested in the western tip of North Carolina, because part of it (the very westernmost part) is in the NewsChannel 9 viewing area. So I did some digging.
The one poll I could find that broke things down by region (that included - instead of ignored - the western region) was by Public Policy Polling, taken last weekend.
It found that the 828 area code is Hillary Clinton country. She leads Obama 52-38, by far her strongest showing in the whole state. 10% of western North Carolinians are undecided.
On to Indiana!
Where the polls are much more in flux.
It looks like Clinton has surpassed Obama. The RealClearPolitics average (click above link) has Clinton with 47.5%, Obama with 41.3%.
These will be very interesting primaries to watch, of course.
A lot going on between now & then, though!
On Saturday..
There’s the Derby, of course.. but that’s not the kind of horse race this blog is following.
It’s the Guam caucus! It’s not a state, but Guam does get 4 delegates assigned to the convention.. and you’d better believe the candidates aren’t ignoring this tiny island in the Pacific. Read how they’re campaigning from halfway around the world here.
Then it’s a Super Sunday morning which may have you firing up the Tivo.
- Barack Obama appears on Meet the Press for a full hour.. AND
- Hillary Clinton answers IA & NC voters’ questions in a town-hall style format on ABC’s “This Week.”
We hope to have clips from both of those shows here on Monday, so .. until then! Have a great weekend!
